Dostoevsky on the predictability of human history

"They fight and fight and fight; they are fighting now, they fought before, and they'll fight in the future... So you see, you can say anything about world history. Except one thing, that is. It cannot be said that world history is reasonable."

Dostoevksy, Notes from underground, cited by Niall Ferguson in The cash nexus.

This post follows the series on the relative importance in irrationality in human affairs.